Clear Future is active in the fields of applied economic research with a focus on commodity prices, their relationship to the global economy, and forecasting. Co-founders Daniel Jerrett and Abdel Zellou have expertise in identifying trends and cycles in commodity prices. They introduced the idea of statistically-defined "Super Cycles" in both metals and energy prices. Jerrett and Zellou developed peer-reviewed techniques that have changed the way Wall Street, industry, and academics think about long-term commodity price behavior. Their papers have been cited in nearly 200 articles related to commodity prices, macroeconomic growth, finance, and real estate.

Click on any of the papers below for more information.

 Super Cycles in Real Metals Prices?

Is There Evidence of Super Cycles in Oil Prices?

A simple mineral market model: Can it produce super cycles in prices?

Trends and Super Cycles in Energy and Metals Prices

Broadening the statistical search for metal price super cycles to steel and related metals